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How Concerned Are Americans About Coronavirus So Far?
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll(s) of the week Depending on what data you look at, more than 1,500 Americans have been diagnosed with coronavirus — or close to 1,200 —...
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The COVID-19 Blame Game Is Going To Get Uglier
The 2020 election will be the COVID-19 election. Voters will almost certainly be asked to condemn or endorse President Trump’s handling of the pandemic — and quite possibly while the virus is in the...
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How Much Does Obama’s Endorsement Of Biden Matter?
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): Former Vice President Joe Biden picked up three notable...
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Americans Are Skeptical Of The Government — Except When There’s A Crisis
The approval ratings of many world leaders and government officials — including President Trump — have increased amid the COVID-19 crisis. Even U.S. government agencies, such as the Centers for Disease...
View ArticleWhy Some Democrats May Be Willing To Look Past The Allegation Against Biden
Over the past few years, Americans have grown increasingly divided on issues of sexual harassment and misconduct. In the wake of the #MeToo movement, rank-and-file Republicans have become even more...
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Some Republicans Have Gotten More Concerned About COVID-19
This month, for the first time since April, our tracker of public opinion around the coronavirus shows that the share of Americans who say they are “very” concerned that they or someone they know will...
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Biden’s Pledge To Choose A Woman For VP Was Popular — And So Is Harris
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll(s) of the week Before Joe Biden announced Sen. Kamala Harris as his running mate on Tuesday, criticism of his VP search was heating up. For...
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More And More Americans Aren’t Religious. Why Are Democrats Ignoring These...
Democrats are once again doubling down on religion this year. Faith was on full display during the Democratic National Convention, where Joe Biden closed out the week with several pointed references to...
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How Hatred Came To Dominate American Politics
To anyone following American politics, it’s not exactly news that Democrats and Republicans don’t like each other. Take what happened in the presidential debate last week. President Trump and former...
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Why A Surge In Republican Voter Registration Might Not Mean A Surge In Trump...
In the past couple of weeks, key battleground states like Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania have received a lot of attention because Republicans have seen a spike in voter registration numbers....
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Republicans Won Almost Every Election Where Redistricting Was At Stake
Joe Biden may have won the White House, but down-ballot races were much better for Republicans. In fact, the GOP’s victories in state-level elections could pay dividends long after Biden leaves office,...
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More Republicans Distrust This Year’s Election Results Than Democrats After 2016
Poll(s) of the week President Trump’s refusal to accept the outcome of the election has sown distrust in the election, especially among Republicans. According to a new Monmouth University poll, about...
View ArticleDemocrats And Republicans Should Argue More — Not Less
This holiday season, as COVID-19 cases spike across the country, many Americans will forgo family celebrations. But for some people, these canceled plans may come with a silver lining: no squabbling...
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Confidence Interval: Will Marijuana Be Legal Everywhere In The U.S. By 2024?
It’s another episode of Confidence Interval, where we make a persuasive case for a hot take we’ve been hearing … and then reveal how confident we really feel about the idea. Here, senior writer Amelia...
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Democrats Are Split Over How Much The Party And American Democracy Itself Are...
Facing a Republican Party with a growing anti-democratic contingent, Democrats are debating what to do — to bolster their party and, in the view of some in the party, American democracy itself. At the...
View ArticleWhy Did Republicans Outperform The Polls Again? Two Theories.
Pollsters are perplexed. Many believed that the polling errors we saw in 2016 had been adequately addressed in time for the 2020 presidential election. But once again, the polls underestimated support...
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How Much Longer Can This Era Of Political Gridlock Last?
Democrats may have a narrow majority in both the House and the Senate for the next two years, but it’s nothing near the margin they hoped for. And the likelihood that Democrats keep both the House and...
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Why We Are (And Should Be) Talking About Voting Rights Right Now
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): Georgia’s new voting law has captured headlines for all the ways in...
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Few Americans Who Identify As Independent Are Actually Independent. That’s...
If you’ve ever been in a conversation about politics, you’ve probably heard someone say, “I don’t like either party” or “Politics is just so ugly these days.” That person also may have claimed not to...
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What Have We Learned From Biden’s First 100 Days?
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): We’re closing in on the first 100 days of Joe Biden’s presidency...
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